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Investors > The Economy > The Fed |
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The Federal Reserve Bank (The Fed) is the organization that changes interest rates to affect the econominc activity amongst businesses and consumers. The following sections tells you how The Fed can help moderate the economy so it doesn't get out of hand. The Fed usually keeps a steady eye on inflation and GDP and takes action accordingly as described below. Inflation Rears Its Ugly Head The Fed Takes Action Through The Discount Rate If the GDP is not growing at all, it probably means that consumers are not spending much money. To encourage people to spend more money, the Federal Reserve Bank can decrease the discount rate, which eventually makes it easier for consumers to borrow money. This action is known as "loosening monetary policy." Making Sense Of The Fed's Actions If the train is going really slow, it will not meet its schedule. Much like the motorman who tinkers with the train's engine to increase its speed, the Federal Reserve stimulates the economy by reducing the discount rate in order to encourage more people to borrow and spend more money. The following passage from The Wall Street Journal (June 9, 2000) summarizes some of the concepts we have been teaching regarding the economy and the Federal Reserve Bank's action to keep it stable: "The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 19% last week following a report that unemployment was rising and that businesses were eliminating jobs. That was bad news for job seekers, but it stirred hopes that the economy is slowing. If it starts seeing results from its yearlong campaign to cool the economy, the Fed might finally stop raising rates. Rising rates have been the main brake on the stock and bond markets.... While a slowing economy would help stocks, economic strength could send stocks down." The Federal Reserve's actions to keep the economy on an even keel make sense if you pause and give it some real thought. The only problem is that it is very difficult to know how fast or how long to apply the brakes on the economy or how much stimulation is needed to get the economy moving again. Fear as to whether the Federal Reserve may do too much to slow down the economy can be a self-fulfilling prohecy because the fear itself can adversely affect the stock market. The following passage from teh May 17, 2006 Wall Street Journal illustrates this concept: ". . . .In recent days, though, concerns that inflation wil force the Fed to keep its foot on the brakes have sent stocks into a freefall. Yesterday, a report showing wholesale inflation was relatively tame did little to help stocks, raising concerns that the latest decline could continue."
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